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Background: Predicting the severity of COVID-19 infection in advance is the key to success of its treatment outcome. Various scoring systems are used to detect the severity of this disease but this study targets three simple scoring systems based on the vital parameters and basic routine laboratory tests. Aims and Objectives: The aim of the study was to assess the predictability of three scoring systems (Quick sequential organ failure assessment [q SOFA], CURB-65, and Early Warning scoring system) for disease severity at presentation in a rural-based tertiary care center. Materials and Methods: An observational, descriptive, retrospective, and cross-sectional study was conducted at Diamond Harbour Government Medical College Covid Hospital from January 2021 to January 2022 to assess the predictability of q SOFA, CURB-65, and Early Warning scoring system for disease severity at presentation. Results: The total number of participants was 561 among total admitted 1367 patients. A short descriptive analysis obtained from the variables to analyze the scorings howed among total sample collected, 57% were male and 43% were female. In this study, 87% of patients were survived and the rest 13% succumbed (death). There is no statistically significant difference in mortality between both genders. Age, pulse rate, and respiratory rate have a significant correlation with the outcome and altered sensorium is also highly associated with mortality. The accuracy was also found to be little higher for National Early Warning score (NEWS) score than CURB-65 scoring and q SOFA scoring (0.919, 0.914 and 0.907). Although all the scoring systems have high sensitivity (>90%) (CURB 65: Most sensitive [0.99]), the specificities of all three scoring systems are below 50%. Among these three-scoring systems, NEWS showed the highest specificity (0.492) than q SOFA (0.423) and CURB 65 (0.394). Conclusion: We suggest NEWS score and CURB-65 as a better predictor for in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients as it is significantly sensitive and reasonably specific. It can be recommended in less equipped hospitals where only basic laboratory facilities are available. qSOFA can be utilized where no laboratory facility is available like in safe home and isolation centers.
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Objective:To evaluate the prognostic value of sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) in patients with sepsis.Methods:From January 2019 to December 2021, patients with sepsis admitted to the Intensive Care Unit of our hospital were retrospectively classified into the SIC group and non-SIC group according to SIC diagnostic criteria. The baseline clinical data, severity score, total length of hospital stay, length of ICU stay and 28-day survival were compared between the two groups. Kaplan-Meier was used to compare the 28-day survival of patients with sepsis between the two groups. Cox proportional hazard regression model was employed to analyze the risk factors of prognosis in patients with sepsis.Results:Totally 274 patients with sepsis were included in the analysis, including 139 patients in the SIC group and 135 patients in the non-SIC group. The two groups were compared in the perspectives of the Platelet count (PLT), prothrombin time (PT) , procalcitonin (PCT), D dimer, hematocrit, red blood cell distribution width, hemoglobin, acute kidney injury (AKI), the use of continuous renal replacement treatment (CRRT), the use of vasoactive drugs, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHEⅡ) score were compared between the two groups and the difference were statistically different (all P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 28-day mortality rate in the SIC group was significantly higher than that in the non-SIC group (32.4% vs. 14.1%, P<0.05). COX proportional hazard model showed that SIC score ( HR= 2.17, 95% CI: 1.15-3.91, P<0.05), APACHEⅡ score ( HR= 1.13, 95% CI: 1.09-1.17, P<0.05) and the use of vasoactive drugs ( HR=3.66, 95% CI: 1.53-8.75, P<0.05) were independent influencing factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis. Conclusions:Patients with sepsis and SIC have more severe disease and increased mortality risk. SIC score exhibits good clinical value in predicting the prognosis of patients with sepsis.
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Objective:To evaluate the value of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI) in the clinical prognosis of sepsis and septic shock in the elderly, and to further explore the role of aCCI in evaluating the timing of Shenfu injection in elderly patients with septic shock.Methods:Clinical data of elderly patients with sepsis and septic shock in Dongzhimen Hospital of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine from January 1, 2019 to January 1, 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. With the median aCCI score of all samples as the cutoff value, the patients were divided into the low aCCI score group and high aCCI score group. The prognosis of elderly patients with septic shock and the application timing of Shenfu injection with aCCI score and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) were compared.Results:A total of 61 patients were included, including 31 patients in the high aCCI score group. The proportion of septic shock in elderly sepsis patients was lower in the low aCCI score group ( P < 0.05). The aCCI score (95% CI: 1.229-2.615; P< 0.01) was more valuable than SOFA score (95% CI: 1.035-1.607; P< 0.05) in predicting septic shock in elderly patients with sepsis. The 28-day survival rate in the low aCCI score group was higher than that in the high aCCI score group ( P < 0.05). Both the SOFA score (95% CI: 1.010-1.364) and the aCCI score (95% CI: 1.072-10.501) were independent factors affecting the 28-day survival rate. The use of Shenfu injection was associated with 28-day survival outcome in elderly patients with septic shock (95% CI: 0.012-0.788; P < 0.05). Conclusions:aCCI score is more effective than SOFA score in assessing the risk of shock in elderly patients with septic shock, and has a certain predictive value for the survival and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis. Shenfu injection may be beneficial to the survival and prognosis of elderly patients with septic shock, but it needs to be further verified by large-scale prospective studies.
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Objective: Several predictive scoring systems measuring disease severity are used to predict outcomes, typically mortality, of critically ill patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). Two common validated predictive scoring systems include acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) and modified sequential organ failure assessment score (mSOFA). To compare performance of APACHE II and mSOFA score in critically ill patients regarding the outcomes in the form of morbidity and mortality in ICU. Methods: This prospective observational clinical study was conducted on 100 patients over 6 months. For each patient, APACHE II score on day of admission and serial mSOFA scores on day 0, 3, 7 and 10 were calculated and compared. Results: The age of the non-survivors was significantly older than survivors was (57.1±11.76 and 54.28±15.16). [In our study we found that the mean length of ICU stay of non-survivors was (5.41±4.81) & survivors(8.63± 4.81) days.] In our study mortality rate was 40%.The APACHE II score with cut-off point of 23 demonstrated a sensitivity rate of 98.33% & specificity rate of 17.5%, accuracy of 66.00%. Serial mSOFA scores with cut-off of 11 on day0, day3, day7 better differentiated survivors from non-survivors with 98.3% sensitivity, 27.5% specificity and 70% accuracy. Conclusion: Both APACHE II and mSOFA scores can help ICU physicians as a significant predictive marker for mortality in critically ill patients. The serial measurement of mSOFA score in the first week is a better mortality predictor tool than APACHE II score in critically ill patients.
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Objective:To dynamically monitor the pediatric sequential organ failure assessment(pSOFA) score of children in PICU at different time points, and to evaluate the predictive value of pSOFA score for the prognosis of children with sepsis.Methods:A multicenter prospective observational study was conducted to collect the data of children with sepsis admitted to the PICU of four children′s hospitals in Shanghai from December 2018 to December 2019(Children′s Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai Children′s Medical Center Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai Children′s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, and Xinhua Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine). We collected their pSOFA scores on the 1st, 3rd, and 7th day after sepsis diagnosis and the highest score.The patients were divided into survival group and death group according to the clinical outcomes at the time of leaving PICU.The clinical characteristics of two groups were compared.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve were used to assess the resolution of the pSOFA score.Logistic regression was used to analyze the relationship between pSOFA score and sepsis mortality.Results:A total of 170 cases diagnosed sepsis were included, with a median age of 32.5(11.5, 83.2) months, and a median length of stay in PICU of 10(6, 21) days.Forty-two died and 128 survived.The medians of the 1st, 3rd, 7th day and the highest pSOFA score of the children in death group[10(7, 12) points, 9(5, 10) points, 7(4, 10) points, 11(7, 12) points, respectively] were higher than those in survival group[4(2, 8) points, 3(1, 6) points, 2(0, 5) points, 6(3, 8) points, respectively]( P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of the pSOFA score predicting death on day 1 after sepsis diagnosis was greater than that on days 3, 7 and the highest pSOFA score[0.84(95% CI 0.79-0.91) vs.0.80(95% CI 0.71-0.89), 0.77(95% CI 0.65-0.89), 0.83(95% CI 0.77-0.90)], but the difference was not statistically significant( χ2=1.660, P=0.646). The pSOFA score on the first day of diagnosis had the best cut-off value of >6 points for predicting the risk of death from sepsis, with a sensitivity of 97.6% and a specificity of 53.9%.Logistic regression analysis of pSOFA score and childhood sepsis death showed that the OR values corresponding to the 1st, 3rd, 7th day of diagnosis and the highest pSOFA score were 1.58(95% CI 1.350-1.840), 1.39(95% CI 1.218-1.595), 1.38(95% CI 1.184-1.617) and 1.55(95% CI 1.333-1.800), respectively(all P<0.05). The 1-point increase in pSOFA score on the first day of diagnosis of sepsis was associated with a 58% increase in the hazard ratio for death, and each 1-point increase in the highest pSOFA score was associated with a 55% increase in the hazard ratio for death. Conclusion:The 1st, 3rd, 7th day of sepsis diagnosis and the highest pSOFA score could better predict the mortality risk of sepsis in children.Dynamic monitoring of the pSOFA score at different time points has a certain clinical value in predicting the progression and prognosis of children with sepsis.
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Objective:To dynamically monitor the pediatric sequential organ failure assessment(pSOFA) score of children in PICU at different time points, and to evaluate the predictive value of pSOFA score for the prognosis of children with sepsis.Methods:A multicenter prospective observational study was conducted to collect the data of children with sepsis admitted to the PICU of four children′s hospitals in Shanghai from December 2018 to December 2019(Children′s Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai Children′s Medical Center Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai Children′s Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, and Xinhua Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine). We collected their pSOFA scores on the 1st, 3rd, and 7th day after sepsis diagnosis and the highest score.The patients were divided into survival group and death group according to the clinical outcomes at the time of leaving PICU.The clinical characteristics of two groups were compared.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve were used to assess the resolution of the pSOFA score.Logistic regression was used to analyze the relationship between pSOFA score and sepsis mortality.Results:A total of 170 cases diagnosed sepsis were included, with a median age of 32.5(11.5, 83.2) months, and a median length of stay in PICU of 10(6, 21) days.Forty-two died and 128 survived.The medians of the 1st, 3rd, 7th day and the highest pSOFA score of the children in death group[10(7, 12) points, 9(5, 10) points, 7(4, 10) points, 11(7, 12) points, respectively] were higher than those in survival group[4(2, 8) points, 3(1, 6) points, 2(0, 5) points, 6(3, 8) points, respectively]( P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of the pSOFA score predicting death on day 1 after sepsis diagnosis was greater than that on days 3, 7 and the highest pSOFA score[0.84(95% CI 0.79-0.91) vs.0.80(95% CI 0.71-0.89), 0.77(95% CI 0.65-0.89), 0.83(95% CI 0.77-0.90)], but the difference was not statistically significant( χ2=1.660, P=0.646). The pSOFA score on the first day of diagnosis had the best cut-off value of >6 points for predicting the risk of death from sepsis, with a sensitivity of 97.6% and a specificity of 53.9%.Logistic regression analysis of pSOFA score and childhood sepsis death showed that the OR values corresponding to the 1st, 3rd, 7th day of diagnosis and the highest pSOFA score were 1.58(95% CI 1.350-1.840), 1.39(95% CI 1.218-1.595), 1.38(95% CI 1.184-1.617) and 1.55(95% CI 1.333-1.800), respectively(all P<0.05). The 1-point increase in pSOFA score on the first day of diagnosis of sepsis was associated with a 58% increase in the hazard ratio for death, and each 1-point increase in the highest pSOFA score was associated with a 55% increase in the hazard ratio for death. Conclusion:The 1st, 3rd, 7th day of sepsis diagnosis and the highest pSOFA score could better predict the mortality risk of sepsis in children.Dynamic monitoring of the pSOFA score at different time points has a certain clinical value in predicting the progression and prognosis of children with sepsis.
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Objective:To compare the value of difference between thromboelastogram (TEG), coagulation function and mean platelet volume (MPV)/platelet count (PLT) ratio in sepsis patients with short-term prognosis.Methods:A total of 271 patients with sepsis admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from January 2020 to September 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The clinical data of the patients were recorded, and the SOFA score and APACHE Ⅱ score were calculated. The patients were followed up within 28 days and were divided into the survival group and death group. The TEG, coagulation function and MPV/PLT ratio were compared between the two groups. The independent prognostic factors of Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ, D-Di and MPV/PLT ratio were confirmed by Logistic regression analysis. The combination of Angle + CI + AT-Ⅲ + D-Di +MPV/PLT ratio was established, and the ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ and D-Di combined with MPV/PLT ratio in patients with sepsis.Results:The mortality rate of patients with sepsis was 42.4%. The D-Di and MPV/PLT ratio of the death group were significantly higher than those of the survival group, and the differences were statistically significant. Angle, CI and AT-III in the death group were significantly lower than those in the survival group, and the differences were statistically significant. Logistic regression analysis showed that Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ, D-Di and MPV/PLT ratio were independent predictors of the prognosis of patients with sepsis (all P < 0.05) . The area under the curve of the combined detection of Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ, D-DI and MPV/PLT ratio to evaluate the prognosis of sepsis at 28 days was 0.931, which was larger than that of Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ, D-Di and MPV/PLT ratio alone (0.755, 0.790, 0.776, 0.729 and 0.746). The sensitivity and specificity of the combination of Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ, D-Di and MPV/PLT ratio were 83.5% and 91.0%, which were also higher than those of the single index . Conclusions:Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ, D-Di and MPV/PLT ratio are independent prognostic predictors of patients with sepsis. The combination of Angle, CI, AT-Ⅲ, D-Di and MPV/PLT ratio has high sensitivity and specificity in evaluating the prognosis of sepsis.
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Objective: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score is a useful tool in defining the clinical conditions and describing the acute morbidity of patient populations with critical illness. This study was performed to assess the usefulness of the SOFA score in predicting the prognosis among cardiac or thoracic aortic postoperative patients. Methods: In total, 123 patients who entered the intensive care unit after a cardiac or thoracic aortic operation from August 2019 to December 2020 were retrospectively investigated. The SOFA score cut-off value from the admission day to postoperative day 3 calculated in the first 60 patients (derivation group) was validated in the latter 63 patients (validation group). Additionally, the Japan SCORE cut-off value calculated in the derivation group was validated in the validation group. Results: The perioperative mortality rate, in-hospital mortality rate and hospital transfer rate were 4.9, 7.3, and 13.2%, respectively. A SOFA score cut-off value of ≥7 for prediction of in-hospital mortality resulted in a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 81% on postoperative day 2, followed by high sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 95% on postoperative day 3. A SOFA score cut-off value of ≥6 for prediction of hospital transfer resulted in a sensitivity of 57% and a specificity of 67% on postoperative day 2. Conclusion: The SOFA score on postoperative day 2 provides good discriminatory power for in-hospital mortality among cardiac or thoracic aortic postoperative patients. The SOFA scoring system could be useful for predicting short-term prognosis of patients who undergo cardiac or thoracic aortic surgery.
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Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a type of necrotizing and inflammatory liver disease caused by certain commonly-used drugs, Chinese herbal medicines or dietary supplements. In severe cases, it may lead to acute liver failure. Without liver transplantation, the fatality could reach up to 80%. It is of significance to master the indications of liver transplantation. Several prognostic scoring systems have been developed to help clinicians to decide which patients need urgent liver transplantation, such as King's College criteria (KCC) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scoring systems. However, these scoring methods have been developed for a long period of time and lack of modifications. Therefore, scholars have proposed several new scoring systems, such as acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scoring systems, which provide novel ideas for the evaluation of liver transplantation. As an important treatment measure for drug-induced acute liver failure, urgent liver transplantation has greatly improved the survival rate of patients. In this article, the classification, clinical diagnosis, liver transplantation evaluation and prognosis of DILI were summarized, aiming to provide reference for the treatment of DILI by liver transplantation.
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Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) for 28-day mortality in patients with post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS).Methods:Retrospective analysis of 125 patients with PCAS who were treated in Emergency Intensive Care Unit (EICU) of Wenzhou People's Hospital from July 2016 to July 2021. Clinical data were collected, including age, gender, underlying diseases, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ), SOFA score on admission to EICU and 28-day mortality. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression model was constructed to analyze the influencing factors of PCAS patients, which was used to examine the independent correlation between SOFA score and 28-day mortality. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to determine the best predictive value of SOFA score and 28-day mortality in PCAS patients.Results:Among the 125 PCAS patients, there were 91 males and 34 females with an average age of (58.7±15.1) years old, and 97 died and 28 survived within 28 days. The overall SOFA score ranged from 7 to 15 points, with an average of 10.9 (10.0, 12.0) points. The SOFA score of non-survival group was significantly higher than that of the survival group [points: 11.0 (10.0, 12.0) vs. 9.5 (9.0, 10.0), P < 0.05]. This difference between SOFA score mainly caused by the neurological and cardiovascular systems. After excluding neurological factors, the SOFA score of the non-survival group was still significantly higher than that of the survival group [points: 8.0 (6.0, 8.0) vs. 6.5 (6.0, 7.0), P < 0.05]. SOFA score was found to be an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in PCAS patients by multifactorial Logistic regression analysis [odds ratio ( OR) = 1.97, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.24-3.04]. The correlation between neurological score and mortality was the highest in subgroups ( OR = 3.47, 95% CI was 1.04-11.52). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) predicted by SOFA score was 0.81 (95% CI was 0.73-0.89). When SOFA score cut-off value was 10.5 points (10 or 11 points), the sensitivity and specificity of SOFA score for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with PCAS were 67.0% and 82.1%, respectively. Conclusions:The SOFA score is quite accurate in predicting 28-day mortality in patients with PCAS.
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@#BACKGROUND: The quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) is recommended to identify sepsis and predict sepsis mortality. However, some studies have recently shown its poor performance in sepsis mortality prediction. To enhance its effectiveness, researchers have developed various revised versions of the qSOFA by adding other parameters, such as the lactate-enhanced qSOFA (LqSOFA), the procalcitonin-enhanced qSOFA (PqSOFA), and the modified qSOFA (MqSOFA). This study aimed to compare the performance of these versions of the qSOFA in predicting sepsis mortality in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed data obtained from an electronic register system of adult patients with sepsis between January 1 and December 31, 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to determine the area under the curve (AUC), with sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values calculated for the various scores. RESULTS: Among the 936 enrolled cases, there were 835 survivors and 101 deaths. The AUCs of the LqSOFA, MqSOFA, PqSOFA, and qSOFA were 0.740, 0.731, 0.712, and 0.705, respectively. The sensitivity of the LqSOFA, MqSOFA, PqSOFA, and qSOFA were 64.36%, 51.40%, 71.29%, and 39.60%, respectively. The specificity of the four scores were 70.78%, 80.96%, 61.68%, and 91.62%, respectively. The LqSOFA and MqSOFA were superior to the qSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with sepsis in the ED, the performance of the PqSOFA was similar to that of the qSOFA and the values of the LqSOFA and MqSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality were greater compared to qSOFA. As the added parameter of the MqSOFA was more convenient compared to the LqSOFA, the MqSOFA could be used as a candidate for the revised qSOFA to increase the performance of the early prediction of sepsis mortality.
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Objective:To explore the evaluation value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score at different time points in the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia combined with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).Methods:A retrospective cohort study method was conducted, including patients with severe pneumonia and ARDS admitted to the emergency intensive care unit (ICU) of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from January 2015 to December 2019. General clinical data such as gender, age, and the SOFA scores at 1, 2, 3, and 7 days after admission were recorded. According to the diagnostic test, the prognostic evaluation value of SOFA score in patients with severe pneumonia combined with ARDS at different time points and different ages was analyzed.Results:A total of 88 cases were included in this study, eventually, 42 cases were survived and 46 cases died, the mortality was 52.27%. The age of the death group was significantly older than the survival group (years old: 60.67±14.66 vs. 51.91±15.97), the SOFA score at each time point were significantly higher than those in the survival group (9.83±3.50 vs. 7.54±2.67, 9.98±3.75 vs. 7.48±2.92, 10.84±4.14 vs. 7.23±2.94, 11.71±4.03 vs. 6.51±3.22, respectively at 1, 2, 3, 7 days after admission, all P < 0.01). The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) showed that the SOFA score at 1, 2, 3, and 7 days after admission had a certain predictive value for the prognosis of patients with severe pneumonia combined with ARDS (all P < 0.01), and with the prolong of ICU stay, the area under ROC curve (AUC) of SOFA score had gradually increased. On the 7th day after admission, the SOFA score had the highest sensitivity in predicting severe pneumonia combined with ARDS patients, which was 92.86%, and the specificity was the highest on the 3rd day after admission, which was 88.10%. The AUC in day 7 was significantly higher than day 2 (0.85 vs. 0.72) , there was no statistically significant difference of AUC at other time points. After stratifying by age, the diagnostic of sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and AUC of SOFA score for the prognosis had gradually increased, and the predictive value was better. However, only on day 3 after admission, the AUC of SOFA score was significantly higher than day 1 (0.80 vs. 0.77, P < 0.05), and there was no significant difference in AUC at other time points. In patients older than 60 years old, the AUC of the SOFA score predicting the prognosis of patients was relatively small on day 1 and day 2 (0.67, 0.68, respectively), the ability was poor. There was no statistically significant difference in the AUC of SOFA scores at each time point in evaluating the prognosis of patients. The trends over time of patients at different ages and time points showed that regardless of age, the SOFA scores of the patients in the death group showed an upward trend, while showed a downward trend in the survival group, the difference reached the largest on the 7th day after admission, and the death group was significantly higher than the survival group (age < 60 years old: 12.50 vs. 6.69; age≥60 years old: 11.58 vs. 6.21). Conclusion:The initial SOFA score has a certain value in the evaluation of prognosis of severe pneumonia patients combined with ARDS, but the effect is poor for elderly patients.
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Objective:To investigate the effect of the completion time of initial 30 mL/kg fluid resuscitation on the prognosis of patients with septic shock.Methods:An observational study was conducted. The inpatients with septic shock admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) of Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University and Jiangdu People's Hospital from October 1st, 2018 to September 30th, 2020 were enrolled. The general data including gender, age, body mass index (BMI), patient source, site of infection, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score and arterial blood lactic acid (Lac) at ICU admission, fluid resuscitation dose, completion time of initial 30 mL/kg fluid resuscitation, mechanical ventilation, incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI), continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), length of ICU stay and 28-day mortality. The relationship between the completion time of initial 30 mL/kg fluid resuscitation and ΔSOFA score (the difference between SOFA score 3 hours of fluid resuscitation and initial SOFA score) was analyzed. In addition, according to the completion time (T) of initial 30 mL/kg fluid resuscitation, the patients were divided into T ≤ 1 hour group, 1 hour < T≤2 hours group, 2 hours < T≤3 hours group and T > 3 hours group, and the observation parameters among the groups were compared.Results:① A total of 131 patients were enrolled, including 94 males and 37 females with an average age of (68.3±15.0) years old. The median APACHE Ⅱ score was 27 (21, 34), the median of initial SOFA score was 12 (10, 14), the median of initial Lac was 5.0 (3.4, 7.1) mmol/L, and the most common source of infection was lung, with a total of 87 patients (66.41%). The completion time of initial 30 mL/kg fluid resuscitation and ΔSOFA score fitted the Logistic curve ( Y = -1.062 6 X2+4.407 9 X+0.961 8), which suggested that the early or late completion time of initial fluid resuscitation had adverse effects on the prognosis of patients with septic shock.② There was no significant difference in infection site, initial APACHE Ⅱ score, initial Lac, and initial SOFA score among different completion time of initial 30 mL/kg fluid resuscitation groups. The respiratory support rate, the incidence of AKI and the ratio of CRRT in the T ≤1 hour group were significantly higher than those in the 1 hour < T≤2 hours group, 2 hours < T≤3 hours group and T > 3 hours group (respiratory support rate: 78.57% vs. 75.51%, 42.86%, 75.00%; incidence of AKI: 57.14% vs. 20.41%, 21.43%, 50.00%; ratio of CRRT: 35.71% vs. 0%, 7.14%, 16.67%), the differences among the groups were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). The 28-day mortality was the highest in the T ≤ 1 hour group (64.29%), and the lowest in the 1 hour < T ≤2 hours group (22.45%), 35.71% in the 2 hours < T ≤ 3 hours group, 33.33% in the T > 3 hours, and the difference among the groups was statistically significant ( P < 0.01). Conclusions:Completion of initial 30 mL/kg fluid resuscitation in 1-2 hours after septic shock may reduce the 28-day mortality and improve organ dysfunction, and initial fluid resuscitation prematurely or too late may increase 28-day mortality. But further research and verification are needed.
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Objective:To investigate the value of quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score in early identification for sepsis patients of different ages.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted. The clinical data of 1 529 patients with suspected infection in emergency department of Changshu No.2 People's Hospital from September 2017 to March 2020 were collected. All patients were assessed for qSOFA score, and the diagnosis and treatment were recorded. Sepsis-3 was defined as the diagnostic criteria for sepsis. All the patients were divided into five groups according to age, youth group (< 45 years old), middle-aged group (45-59 years old), presenile group (60-74 years old), elderly group (75-89 years old), and longevity group (≥90 years old). The patients' examination results, diagnosis and treatment status were collected. The distribution of different scores of qSOFA was analyzed to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of different qSOFA scores for the diagnosis of sepsis in patients with suspected infection of different ages. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the diagnostic value of qSOFA score for sepsis in patients with suspected infection at different ages.Results:Of 1 529 suspected infection patients, there were 67 patients in youth group, 129 patients in middle-aged group, 465 patients in presenile group, 778 patients in elderly group and 90 patients in longevity group. There were significant differences in lactic acid (Lac), total bilirubin (TBil), creatinine (Cr), qSOFA score and the increased value of SOFA score compared with the basic value (ΔSOFA) among the suspected infection patients at different ages. Among suspected infection patients at different ages, the patients with qSOFA score ≥ 1 were the most, and the proportion of sepsis patients was larger. Further analysis showed that qSOFA score ≥1 had a high diagnostic sensitivity in patients with suspected infection at different ages. In the youth group, the sensitivity was 84.4%, and the specificity was the highest (74.3%). Although qSOFA score ≥ 2 had a high specificity in the diagnosis of sepsis (all > 97%), its sensitivity was very low (all < 44%). In this study, all patients with a qSOFA score of 3 were sepsis, and the positive predictive value of the diagnosis of sepsis in each group was 100%. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under ROC curve (AUC) of qSOFA score for the diagnosis of sepsis in all suspected infection patients was 0.771 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 0.747-0.794], when the best cut-off value was 0.5, the sensitivity was 93.4% and the specificity was 45.6%. Among suspected infection patients of all ages, the accuracy of qSOFA score in the diagnosis of sepsis in the youth group and the longevity group was relatively high, with AUC (95% CI) of 0.825 (0.724-0.927) and 0.837 (0.756-0.917), respectively; when the best cut-off value was 0.5, the sensitivity was 84.4% or 92.2%, and the specificity was 74.3% or 56.4%, respectively. Conclusions:qSOFA score has an early diagnosis value for sepsis, especially in the patients aged < 45 years old or ≥ 90 years old. Using qSOFA score ≥2 to screen patients with suspected infection is likely to cause missed diagnosis.
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Objective:To investigate the predictive value of heparin binding protein (HBP) for sepsis.Methods:From June 2019 to December 2020, 188 patients admitted to the department of emergency of Hunan Provincial People's Hospital were enrolled. The patients were divided into non-sepsis group (87 patients) and sepsis group (101 patients) according to Sepsis-3 criteria. Gender, age, white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), HBP, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, quick SOFA (qSOFA) score, modified early warning score (MEWS) and patients' recent medication history were recorded, the differences in the above indicators between the two groups were compared. The risk factors of sepsis were analyzed by Logistic regression. Spearman correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between HBP, PCT, CRP and SOFA score to evaluate the predictive value of HBP, PCT and CRP for the severity of septic organ failure. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) were drawn to evaluate the diagnostic value of HBP, PCT and CRP for sepsis.Results:Compared with the non-sepsis group, the sepsis group had significantly higher levels of HBP, PCT, CRP, WBC, SOFA score, qSOFA score, and MEWS [HBP (μg/L): 55.46 (24.57, 78.49) vs. 5.90 (5.90, 9.01), PCT (μg/L): 6.83 (1.75, 30.64) vs. 0.23 (0.12, 0.75), CRP (mg/L): 67.35 (26.23, 123.23) vs. 4.45 (2.62, 47.22), WBC (×10 9/L): 11.84 (7.18, 16.06) vs. 6.58 (5.47, 8.99), SOFA score: 6 (4, 8) vs. 0 (0, 0), qSOFA score: 2 (1, 3) vs. 0 (0, 1), MEWS: 4 (3, 6) vs. 1 (0, 2)], the length of hospital stay was significantly prolonged [days: 10 (4, 17) vs. 0 (0, 7)], and the mortality was significantly increased [29.7% (30/101)vs. 4.6% (4/87)], with statistical significance (all P < 0.05). Correlation analysis showed that HBP, PCT and CRP were significantly positively correlated with SOFA score ( r values were 0.60, 0.33, and 0.38, respectively, all P < 0.01), among which HBP had the strongest correlation, CRP was the second, and PCT was the weakest. Logistic regression analysis showed that HBP, PCT and CRP levels were independent risk factors for sepsis [odds ratio ( OR) were 1.015, 1.094, 1.067, 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were 1.007-1.022, 1.041-1.150, 1.043-1.093, all P < 0.01]. ROC curve analysis showed that HBP, PCT and CRP all had some diagnostic value for sepsis [the area under ROC curve (AUC) were 0.92, 0.87, 0.80, 95% CI were 0.88-0.97, 0.82-0.92, 0.74-0.87, respectively, all P < 0.01]. Among them, the diagnostic efficacy of HBP was higher when the cut-off value was ≥15.11 μg/L, its sensitivity and specificity were 86.14% and 89.66%, respectively, which were higher than the sensitivity (81.19%) and specificity (80.46%) when the PCT cut-off value was≥ 1.17 μg/L. However, CRP had the best sensitivity of 94.06% for the diagnosis of sepsis but lacked of specificity (63.22%). Conclusion:HBP can be used as a biological indicator for predicting sepsis and can assess the severity of organ failure in septic patients.
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Objective:To explore the risk factors of intensive care unit acquired weakness (ICUAW) in patients with sepsis, and to evaluate the predictive value of each risk factor for ICUAW.Methods:A case control study was conducted, 60 septic patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Henan Provincial People's Hospital from October 20, 2020 to February 20, 2021 were enrolled. The patients were divided into two groups: sepsis ICUAW group and sepsis non-ICUAW group. The data of gender, age, body mass index (BMI), acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHEⅡ) score, complications, mechanical ventilation, duration of ICUAW, length of stay in ICU, fasting blood glucose, blood lactic acid (Lac), procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, outcome, antimicrobial agent, glucocorticoid, sedatives and analgesics drugs and vasoactive drugs were collected. Risk factors were screened by univariate Logistic regression analysis, and odds ratio ( OR) was adjusted by multivariate binary logistic regression, P < 0.05 was considered as independent risk factors. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of independent risk factors. Results:The APACHEⅡ score of the sepsis ICUAW group was significantly higher than that of the sepsis non-ICUAW group (23.05±8.17 vs. 15.33±4.89, P < 0.05), the total length of stay in the ICU was significantly longer than that of the sepsis non-ICUAW group (days: 15.1±9.2 vs. 8.5±3.4, P < 0.05), the improvement rate of patients was significantly lower than that of the sepsis non-ICUAW group [45.0% (9/20) vs. 95.0% (38/40), P < 0.05]. After univariate Logistic regression and multicollinearity test analysis, 7 factors including APACHEⅡ score, average SOFA score, blood lactic acid, proportion of mechanical ventilation, sedatives and analgesics drugs, type of antibiotics and type of vasoactive drugs were included in the binary Logistic regression model [ OR: 1.21, 2.05, 2.26, 0.21, 1.54, 2.07, 1.38, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.09-1.35, 1.42-2.94, 1.12-4.57, 0.05-0.66, 1.03-2.29, 1.27-3.37, 0.96-2.00, all P < 0.05]. Hosmer-Lemchaw test P = 0.901, and the correct percentage of prediction was 85%, indicating good model fit. Multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis showed that APACHEⅡ score and average SOFA score were independent risk factors for the occurrence of ICUAW in septic patients (APACHEⅡscore: OR = 1.17, 95% CI was 1.004-1.376, P = 0.044; average SOFA score: OR = 1.86, 95% CI was 1.157-2.981, P = 0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that the mean value of APACHEⅡ score, average SOFA score and their combined detection had a certain predictive value for the occurrence of ICUAW in sepsis patients, areas under ROC curve (AUC) were 0.787, 0.881, 0.905, 95% CI was 0.646-0.928, 0.791-0.972, 0.828-0.982, all P < 0.05. When the cut-off value was 19.500, 6.225, 0.375, the sensitivity was 75%, 90%, 90%, and the specificity were 80%, 80%, 85%, respectively. Conclusion:APACHEⅡ score and average SOFA score can be used as independent risk factors for the occurrence of ICUAW in sepsis, and their combined predictive value is better than that of individual index.
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Objective:To investigate the prognosis value of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), pediatrics end-stage liver disease/model for end-stage liver disease(PELD/MELD) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores in pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) at 28 th day. Methods:Fifty-four PALF patients admitted in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) and Infection Department of Pediatrics, Qingdao Women′s and Children′s Hospital from June 1, 2012 to June 1, 2019 were included in the study.According to the survival of PALF patients on the 28 th day, they were divided into the survival group (28 cases) and the death group (26 cases). Baseline characte-ristics and laboratory examination data of PALF patients in both groups were collected and compared.Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the prognostic value of CTP, PELD/MELD and SOFA scores in PALF. Results:The mortality rate of 54 PALF patients was 48.1%.Compared with the survival group, PALF patients in the death group were significantly younger than those in survival group [11.0(3.8-39.0) months vs.14.5(7.3-84.0) months]( Z=-2.145, P=0.020). In addition, CTP, PELD/MELD and SOFA scores were significantly higher in the death group than those in survival group [14.0(11.7-15.0) vs.9.0(7.0-10.0), 32.0(29.0-36.0) vs.25.0(22.0-26.0), 13.0(11.0-16.0) vs.6.0(4.0-7.0)]( Z=-5.095, -4.894, -5.502, all P<0.05). Serum lactate level, blood ammonia level, total bilirubin, direct bilirubin and international normalized ratio were significantly higher in the death group than those in survival group [3.4(2.1-5.3) mmol/L vs.1.5(0.8-2.3) mmol/L, 69.5(46.9-102.9) μmol/L vs.41.7(27.3-50.3) μmol/L, 173.0(97.0-237.2) μmol/L vs.71.9(62.0-136.9) μmol/L, 132.3(53.6-206.2)μmol/L vs.59.3(62.0-99.7) μmol/L, 2.6(1.8-3.5) vs.1.7(1.5-1.9)]( Z=-4.027, -3.220, -2.649, -2.648, -3.807, all P<0.05). Prothrombin time (PT) was significantly prolonged in the death group than that of survival group [27.5(19.2-41.9)s vs.17.8(16.9-22.2)s]( Z=-3.489, P<0.05). Compared with those of survival group, serum albumin, alanine transaminase (ALT) and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) levels were significantly lower in the death group [(30.9±1.0) g/L vs.(33.6±0.9) g/L, 379.2(163.3-880.3) U/L vs.962.5(457.0-1 657.3) U/L, 7.5(0.7-115.8) μg/L vs.22.1(7.9-91.3) μg/L]( t=2.049, Z=-2.510, -2.342, respectively, all P<0.05). The incidence of alimentary tract hemorrhage was significantly higher in the death group than that of survival group (22/26 cases vs.11/28 cases)( χ2=13.340, P<0.05). The cut-off value of CTP, PELD/MELD and SOFA scores in predicting the prognosis of PALF were 11.5, 28.5 and 10.0, respectively.Among the three scoring systems, the specificity and positive predictive value of SOFA scores remained the highest.The sensitivity and specific of a combination of three scoring systems in predicting the prognosis of PALF were 92.3% and 89.3%, respectively, and its Youden index was the highest than that of a single scoring of either CTP, PELD/MELD or SOFA ( Z=2.19, P<0.05). Conclusions:CTP, PELD/MELD and SOFA scores have high predictive value for the short-term prognosis of PALF.The combined detection of the three scoring systems can improve the forecasting efficiency of PALD.
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Objective:To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria in predicting the mortality in patients with infection or suspected infection by using network Meta-analysis.Methods:Five databases including Wanfang Data, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), China Science and Technology Journal Database (VIP), PubMed, Web of Science were searched from February 23, 2016 to September 5, 2020 to identify the relevant literatures comparing the prognostic accuracy of two or more scores for mortality in patients with infection or suspected infection. The literatures screening, data extraction and the quality assessment of the included studies were all conducted independently by two reviewers. Stata 14.0 software was used to test the heterogeneity between the original studies of pairwise comparison of each of the three scoring systems. Ring inconsistency test was used to judge the consistency between direct comparison and indirect comparison. Then network Meta-analysis was performed and the results were ranked. The predictive ability of the three scoring systems was evaluated by surface under cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). A "comparison-correction" funnel plot was drawn to assess whether there was publication bias in the included studies.Results:A total of 38 studies were enrolled, the overall quality was high. Network meta-analysis showed that SOFA had a great prognostic performance in predicting mortality for patients with infection or suspected infection, which was followed by qSOFA [mean difference ( MD) = 0.07, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 0.05-0.09] and SIRS scores ( MD = 0.16, 95% CI was 0.14-0.18), and the qSOFA score was better than SIRS score ( MD = 0.09, 95% CI was 0.07-0.11). In the order of predicting the death risk of patients with infection or suspected infection, SOFA score had higher predictive value, followed by qSOFA score, and SIRS score was the lowest, with SUCRA values of 1.0, 0.5 and 0, respectively. Funnel plot showed that all the studies were distributed on both sides of the midline, but the distribution was not symmetrical, suggesting that there was a high possibility of publication bias and small sample effect. Conclusions:SOFA score had the best prognostic performance in predicting mortality of patients with infection or suspected infection as compared with qSOFA score and SIRS score. However, the funnel plot showed that included literatures may exist small sample effects or publication bias. So the final results should be validated by more prospective studies with multicenters and large samples.
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Background: Recently Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score was adapted and validated in critically ill children to predict the clinical outcome. This study was aimed to evaluate the lactate level association with the outcome and thereby formulating pSOFA-L score to predict the clinical outcome better in critically ill children.Methods: This hospital based prospective, observational, analytical study was conducted in the Department of Paediatrics, A. J Hospital, Mangalore, Karnataka. Requirement of oxygen, inotrope support and other parameters were studied and compared the score with clinical outcome. A total of 75 cases were studied.Results: In this study total of 51 children had high serum lactate levels (68%). Out of 28 expired children 23 children had higher serum lactate levels that accounts for about 82.14% which is statistically significant (p<0.001). ROC curve of pSOFA-L score in predicting the mortality yielded AUC: 0.92 and cut off value: 10.5 which is statistically significant (p<0.001). In the present study mortality rate was 26.09% in children whose pSOFA-L score was less than 9 and mortality rate of 38.89% and 50.00% in children whose pSOFA-L score was 9 to 11 and more than 11 respectively.Conclusions: In this study increase in pSOFA-L score is associated with high mortality and poor outcome. The findings of the present study validate and emphasize that, pSOFA-L score helps in accurate prediction of mortality of critically ill children.
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Background: The objective of this study was to study the multiple clinical parameters in patients with VAP and to compare the 3 scores namely, APACHE II, SOFA and CPIS in predicting the treatment outcome of patients with ventilator associated pneumonia.Methods: It was a cross sectional observational study conducted on forty patients admitted in ICU between June 2018 and July 2019, who developed VAP after admission to ICU. Logistic regression analysis was applied to estimate the predictive ability of the APACHE II, SOFA and CPIS scoring systems in assessing VAP-related mortality. A p value of <0.05 was considered significant. All analyses were performed using SPSS software version 10.Results: The sample size in our study was 40 patients. The mean age of patients was 43.4±15.9. The mean duration of mechanical ventilation before VAP onset was 8±2 days. Klebsiella species was the most common organism isolated from ET aspirate. Of the three scores only APACHE II was independent predictor of the mortality in the logistic regression analysis.Conclusions: APACHE II score is better at predicting mortality in patients with VAP as compared to SOFA and CPIS scores. Age, co-morbidities, duration of ICU stay, time of acquiring VAP, multi organ dysfunction, need for ionotropes and multi drug resistant organisms play an important role in predicting the outcome of patients.